Baseline population

Philippines - Tropical storm Washi (Sendong) - Population density by Barangay in Cagayan de Oro municipality

Shows the population for the area of interest before the emergency. It may show absolute population numbers per district, or population densities.

Strategic or operational?

Strategic and operational.

Basemap, baseline or situational?

Baseline.

When might it be produced?

As early as possible in the emergency, possibly during the pre-deployment stage, subject to availability of data.

Intended audience

Everyone.

Influence on humanitarian decisions

The spatial distribution of the baseline population of the disaster-affected area is of high importance in understanding the potential impact of the disaster. By cross-analysing physical impact indicators (even just a list of affected districts) with population figures, first attempts can be made to create a humanitarian profile for the emergency. Visualising the distribution of the population is often also important to create understanding of the complex spatial dimensions of a response, such as access constraints and numbers of people living in different livelihood zones (e.g. upland versus lowland farming).

  • Initial maps showing relative population density should be produced using whatever data is available, but with the source clearly marked.
  • Symbolising population density is ideal for visual interpretation, however labelling with absolute numbers can add value for users.
  • While total population figures may be used on the map, it can be useful to add other graphics with generalised data to the map sheet, e.g. a pyramid chart to show age and gender breakdown.

Data

National Census

Census data from the national statistics office should provide the most accurate picture of the population and include further demographics such as age, gender, number of those in school, etc.

Other sources

It should be established whether this data matches the administrative boundaries dataset in use (which may be inconsistent due to boundary changes since the last census).

  • Common Operational Datasets (CODs)
  • Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX)

Gridded population estimates

These datasets may be useful where locally-derived population figures are not available, or cannot be reconciled to administrative boundaries.

  • GRUMP, WorldPop, LandScan datasets, may be useful where locally-derived population figures are not available, or cannot be reconciled to administrative boundaries.